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John Dunne's avatar

Cheers Richard, have been using the bank holiday to catch up on your substack. Always an interesting read. My investment approach is somewhat different in that I tend to remain fully invested, if the company continues to perform. Each to their own as is said.

I hold BOWL bought towards the bottom of its current trading range and have noticed the price ticking up, as to why, time will tell.

Enjoy the Easter bank holiday.

Best wishes

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Gary Jordan's avatar

Excellent thank you, I'm not bad at picking stocks but I'm hopeless at knowing when to sell, so this is helpful

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Cockney Rebel's avatar

a pleasure

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Agger's avatar

Excellent piece Richard, thanks for sharing your thoughts on the VIX and how you use it. I love your simple no jargon approach to your Substack. Thank You. Hope Mrs Rebel hides a nice chocolate egg from M & S for you 🐣

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Cockney Rebel's avatar

Thank you.

M&S had sold out of eggs when we visited yesterday so she is going to have to make herself some millionaires shortbread today. The exercise rolling out the shortbread will do here good and I'll obviously have to help her eat it.

I am pleased you enjoyed the VIX stuff.

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Cockney Rebel's avatar

I'll try to as we go along.

I casn't really fathom bowls either but if you look at ABF the past few weeks they definitely work in the majority of cases imo.

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Phil Walker's avatar

Thank you Richard. I have a small bit of WJG too. Amongst far too many others! Happy Easter to you & yours.

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Welshjon's avatar

Thanks,

I think it is your 2nd explanation of some of the unfathomable terms. The other being bowls.

As a novice investor after rereading bowls (more than once) I am beginning to understand those.

Can we have more of these please.

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Christopher Gray's avatar

Hi Richard, great article. I've been building my pot for about 30 years so can really feel for much of what you say.

May I enquire if you use a personal telephone broker? My experience is that when the points of greatest opportunity arise, using a broker like ii just means your order gets ignored if fill-or-kill and stuck in a huge queue if market. #SHEL is the perfect example in 2020 when multiple orders at 950p eventually got filled at over 1250p.

I believe I'm adept at sensing maximum fear and then moving to buy but have never found any method to reliably know when to sell.

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Phil Walker's avatar

Thank you for this, Richard. I hope this is not intrusive, but what sort of stuff do you keep hold of when you get the sell signal?

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Cockney Rebel's avatar

Morning Phil

In this instance the only stock I kept near my max position was WJG. I only like holding stuff that show a compelling valuation that even if the price came off a fair bit it is still compelling.

CARD I would have kept but I could see punters selling there and even reacting to Trump's tariffs when if anything CARD gain imo, So I sold and they were one of the first I bought back lower and a larger position too.

It really depends how bad these sell offs are and when it's the blind panic type falls then I have no emotional attachment to anything and I know the things I think will likely not fall often do, sometimes the worst, so I rarely keep hardly anything or drop my holding to a size where I'm not comfortable losing 10% or more.

Hope that is some help.

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JAS's avatar

Thanks Richard. Always great to hear how the professionals gauge market moves. Have a great Easter break.

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Cockney Rebel's avatar

Thank you,

You have a good weekend too.

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Chris Wood's avatar

Great article, Richard, invaluable input for newbies like me 👍🏻

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Cockney Rebel's avatar

Thank you Chris

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John Mackay's avatar

Very useful insight into the VIX and Fear and Greed. Understand them much better now. Thank you!

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Cockney Rebel's avatar

A pleasure John

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